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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Points
Player Prop - 11/10/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

When it comes to shooting, the Minnesota Timberwolves's impressive 119.6 points per game ranks 4th-most in the league over the last 5 games.

Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 23.1 points per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a good matchup for offensive efficiency.

Mike Conley has sunk an impressive 95.0% of his foul shots this year, quite a bit higher than his 86.8 mark last year.

The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted an enormous 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the league).

Mike Conley figures to get a boost in production in all facets of the game as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Mike Conley has made a lowly 32.3% of his shots from the field this year, significantly lower than his 44.7 rate last year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the NBA with only 8.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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