Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 8, 2024

Updated Nov 8, 2024 10:13 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to offense, the Timberwolves's impressive 117.0 points per game rates 9th-best in the league over the last 5 games.
In contrast to last season's 86.8% rate, Mike Conley's foul-shot proficiency has increased this season to 95.0%.
The matchup against the Trail Blazers may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 6.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-most in the league).
Mike Conley will likely see a rise in efficiency for all stats as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has successfully made a lowly 34.5% of his shots from the field this season, quite a bit less than his 44.7 rate last season.
Compared to last year's 29.3 rate, Mike Conley's playing time has tailed off this year to 23.9 minutes per game.
The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a hard one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 3rd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (29.8%).
The 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league away from their home city this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Timberwolves.

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