Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 11/7/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 7, 2024

Updated Nov 7, 2024 10:44 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has sunk 41.6% of his attempts from beyond the arc since the start of last season, placing him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
When it comes to shots from downtown, the Minnesota Timberwolves's excellent 38.4% rate of converted threes comes in as the most in the league since the start of last season.
The Bulls have played at the speediest tempo in the league this year, which should lead to more opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Mike Conley has made 87.4% of his foul shots on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile among all players in the league.

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have registered 13.7 points per game (lowest in the league) against the Bulls, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-most lethargic tempo in the league this year.
The Timberwolves rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Chicago is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 1.8 foul shots per game this year when the Chicago Bulls have the home court advantage (least in the league).
Mike Conley will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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