Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Charlotte Hornets · Nov 4, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 8:45 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley comes in at the 88th percentile for 3-point ability while at home with an outstanding 42.5% rate since the start of last season.
The Timberwolves check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league since the start of last season.
Mike Conley has successfully made 87.2% of his foul shots while at home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the league.
Mike Conley will likely see a rise in productivity in all facets of the game on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 11.3 field goal attempts per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game this year (3rd-least in the NBA).

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