Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 2, 2024

Updated Nov 3, 2024 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-117/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has made 41.5% of his shots from downtown since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
As it relates to 3-point shots, the Minnesota Timberwolves's terrific 38.4% rate of converted threes measures as the best in the NBA since the start of last season.
The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is a strong one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (50.2%).
Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley comes in at the 87th percentile for foul-shot ability while playing away from home with a great 87.4% rate since the start of last season.
The matchup against San Antonio is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 4.5 free throws per game this year when the Spurs are playing at home (8th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The 9th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year has been the Timberwolves.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley ought to suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this game.

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