Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 1, 2024

Updated Nov 2, 2024 1:29 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley lands in the 89th percentile for 3-point proficiency at home with an impressive 42.6% rate since the start of last season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Mike Conley lands in the 83rd percentile for foul-shot efficiency at home with an outstanding 87.7% rate since the start of last season.
Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.6 free throws per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the foul line.
Mike Conley will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to increase player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have totaled 4.5 three attempts per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a difficult matchup.
The 9th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 5thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

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