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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Points
Player Prop - 11/1/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley lands in the 89th percentile for 3-point proficiency at home with an impressive 42.6% rate since the start of last season.
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA since the start of last season.
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Mike Conley lands in the 83rd percentile for foul-shot efficiency at home with an outstanding 87.7% rate since the start of last season.
  • Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.6 free throws per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the foul line.
  • Mike Conley will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to increase player production in all stat categories.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have totaled 4.5 three attempts per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, creating a difficult matchup.
  • The 9th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Timberwolves.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 5thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

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