Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 10/22/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Oct 22, 2024

Updated Oct 22, 2024 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Mike Conley comes in at the 95th percentile for three-point ability with an outstanding 42.1% rate since the start of last season.
In terms of three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.3% rate of sunk threes ranks 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 15.6 field goal attempts per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo in the league since the start of last season, which should boost plays for the Timberwolves.
Among all players in the league, Mike Conley slots into the 88th percentile for free-throw efficiency with a great 86.8% rate since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley should see a decline in performance in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this game.

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