Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 5/26/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 26, 2024

Updated May 26, 2024 11:56 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley measures in the 90th percentile for 3-point shots scored, totaling 2.3 per game this year.
Mike Conley has tallied 29.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
The Timberwolves check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games as the away team.
Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley measures in the 84th percentile for free-throw proficiency while playing away from home with an exceptional 87.4% rate this year.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.3 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season on the road.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 three attempts per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, branding this as a hard matchup.
The Timberwolves have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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