Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 5/24/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · May 24, 2024

Updated May 25, 2024 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has converted 42.9% of his 3-point shots while on his home court this year, ranking in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league.
Mike Conley has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while on his home court, 4.6 higher than he's played overall this year at home.
When it comes to threes, the Timberwolves's fantastic 38.3% rate of successful threes settles in as the 3rd-best in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Dallas is a favorable one for three-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 9th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.4).
Mike Conley has sunk 3.0 foul shots per game over the last 14 games at home, 1.8 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while on his home court.

Favors Under

The least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 7th-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (lowest in the league) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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