Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 5/19/2024

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 19, 2024

Updated May 19, 2024 10:41 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has successfully made 2.3 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Mike Conley ranks in the 77th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 29.1 minutes per game this year.
The Timberwolves have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
Mike Conley has sunk 88.8% of his foul shots while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 6.2 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on threes (2nd-weakest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a tough matchup.
The 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production in all stat categories.