Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 5/14/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 14, 2024

Updated May 15, 2024 2:07 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
The matchup vs. Denver may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets have the home court advantage (3rd-most in the league).

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on threes (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Nuggets, creating a tough matchup.
The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.

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