Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 12, 2024

Updated May 12, 2024 2:01 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Mike Conley slots into the 89th percentile for three-point efficiency with the home court advantage with a very good 43.3% rate this year.
Mike Conley has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games at home, 4.9 more than he's played over the course of the season at home.
With respect to treys, the Minnesota Timberwolves's fantastic 38.5% rate of made threes comes in as the 3rd-strongest in the league this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to more plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Mike Conley has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 10.5% more than he's sunk in all games this year at home.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated in all games this season.
The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Nuggets are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.5).
The 3rd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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