Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 10, 2024

Updated May 11, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has converted 5.1 baskets per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's converted overall this season at home.
Mike Conley has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games when playing at home, 4.9 more than he's played in all games this season at home.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Mike Conley has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.1% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year while on his home court.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year.
The matchup vs. Denver is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; when the Nuggets are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have averaged the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.5).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

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