Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 26, 2024

Updated Apr 27, 2024 2:41 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has successfully made 2.9 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's converted in all games this season.
Mike Conley has played 28.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 77th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road.
Mike Conley has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 9.1% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Phoenix Suns is a challenging one; they have allowed the 4th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 15 games (16.0).
The 5th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 7thworst in in the NBA with only 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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