Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns · Apr 23, 2024

Updated Apr 24, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-127/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has made 3.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year.
Mike Conley has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while at home, 5.0 more than he's averaged in all games this season at home.
The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The 9th-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
Mike Conley has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 9.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.

Favors Under

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have registered 12.2 points per game (lowest in the league) against the Suns, labeling this as a challenging matchup for offensive productivity.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from facing the 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Suns).
The Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 2.1 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Suns, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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