Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 12, 2024

Updated Apr 13, 2024 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has sunk 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from three overall this year.
Mike Conley has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games on his home court, 5.0 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Hawks is a positive one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 5th-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.8).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA playing at home with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against the Hawks may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (3rd-least in the NBA).

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