Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 7, 2024

Updated Apr 8, 2024 2:12 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-124/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has made 3.2 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's sunk in all games this year away from home.
Mike Conley has tallied 28.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 77th percentile.
In terms of offense, the Timberwolves's excellent 114.4 points per game as the road team rates 8th-best in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; when the Lakers are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 7th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.6).
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from squaring off against the fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

Favors Under

The 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley ought to experience a decrease in output for all stats in light of playing away from home in this game.

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