Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Mar 31, 2024 11:09 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has totaled 16.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 more than he's totaled over the course of the season.
Mike Conley has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games at home, 5.0 higher than he's played over the course of the year at home.
The Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Timberwolves will likely see an increase in plays today from being pitted against the 8th-fastest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Chicago Bulls).
Mike Conley has sunk 3.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.1 higher than he's converted in all games this season with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
The matchup vs. the Bulls is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (13.7).
The 5th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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