Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 1:07 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has sunk 5.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season away from his home court.
Mike Conley has averaged 28.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 77th percentile.
In regard to shooting, the Timberwolves's outstanding 117.6 points per game while playing away from home settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Mike Conley has made 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's put through the net overall this season.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 6.2 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Favors Under

This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on three-pointers (2nd-worst in the league) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a challenging matchup.
The 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Timberwolves rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley figures to see a decline in production for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this game.

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