Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/24/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 24, 2024

Updated Mar 25, 2024 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has successfully made 2.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season.
Mike Conley has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games when playing at home, 5.0 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home.
The Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league at home this year.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have tallied 24.4 points per game (most in the NBA) against the Warriors, identifying this as a favorable matchup for offensive production.
The number of three-pointers attempted against Stephen Curry has been very high (6.8 per game) when on the visiting team and defending fellow starting PGs this year (93rd percentile).

Favors Under

The 2nd-most lethargic pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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