Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Mike Conley lands in the 89th percentile for three-point proficiency without the home court advantage with a a remarkable 43.3% rate this year.
Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley lands in the 76th percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 28.8 minutes per game this year.
When it comes to offense, the Timberwolves's superb 124.4 points per game as the road team comes in as the best in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in possessions today from squaring off against the speediest tempo home offense in the league this year (the Pacers).
The Pacers have allowed the 5th-least offensive boards per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 4.6 three attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, designating this as a challenging matchup.
The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team.
The Timberwolves check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Pacers may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.5 free throws per game over the last 20 games (9th-least in the NBA).
Mike Conley is expected to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board in light of being on the road in this matchup.