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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Points
Player Prop - 3/4/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-109/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley lands in the 87th percentile for 3-point performance while at home with a an impressive 44.1% rate this year.

Mike Conley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games at home, 5.1 more than he's tallied in all games this season at home.

The Timberwolves rank as the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.

Mike Conley has made 3.0 free throws per game over the last 14 games at home, 2.2 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year at home.

The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a massive 6.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (29th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers is a difficult one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 12th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (29.8%).

The 4th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from facing the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 1stworst in in the NBA as the home team with only 8.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

On the road, the Trail Blazers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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