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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs LA Clippers

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-134/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Mike Conley lands in the 90th percentile for three-point efficiency while on his home court with a a great 45.6% rate this year.

Mike Conley has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while playing at home, 5.1 more than he's been on the court for overall this year at home.

The Timberwolves check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a favorable one for scoring; when the LA Clippers are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 24th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (45.6%).

Mike Conley has sunk 3.0 free throws per game over the last 14 games at home, 2.2 higher than he's converted in all games this season while at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.

The Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-least up-tempo tempo away offense in the league this year (the LA Clippers).

The Timberwolves rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 15 games when they are at home, opposing teams have nabbed 12.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Clippers (preserving possessions that can lead to more chances for offense).

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