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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Points
Player Prop - 3/1/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Mike Conley has converted 46.1% of his treys with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Mike Conley has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while at home, 5.4 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year at home.

In terms of offense, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 116.5 points per game comes in as the 10th-most in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Timberwolves.

The Kings have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.1) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have totaled 15.2 points per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, making this a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency.

The 4th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 1stworst in in the league while on their home court with only 8.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The matchup against Sacramento is a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 3.3 foul shots per game this year when the Kings are away from home (8th-least in the league).

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