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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley rates in the 91st percentile for three-point prowess while on his home court with a an outstanding 46.1% rate this year.

Mike Conley has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games on his home court, 5.1 more than he's been on the court for overall this year at home.

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 8th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.

The matchup against San Antonio is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the San Antonio Spurs are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have put up the 30th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (48.4%).

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Timberwolves.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the league as the home team with a mere 8.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 25 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have secured 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Spurs (lengthening possessions that can create more chances for offense).

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