Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 3:18 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley rates in the 89th percentile for three-point performance on his home court with a an excellent 45.8% rate this year.
Mike Conley has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games on his home court, 5.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season at home.
In regard to offense, the Timberwolves's superb 124.4 points per game settles in as the 3rd-most in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Bucks is a favorable one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (21.7).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to more plays for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

The 3rd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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