Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 2/15/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 15, 2024

Updated Feb 16, 2024 3:13 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has successfully made 2.3 treys per game this year, placing him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league.
Mike Conley has played 29.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 75th percentile.
The Timberwolves have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team.
While at home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 9.6% more than he's made overall this season while on the road.

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 29.8% on threes (13th-worst in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers, branding this as a difficult matchup.
The slowest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves will likely see a decline in opportunities today from facing the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley is expected to see a decline in efficiency for all stats due to playing away from home in this game.

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