Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

LA Clippers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 3:38 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has made 3.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season while playing away from home.
Mike Conley has played 29.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 76th percentile.
The Timberwolves have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.
Playing at home, the Clippers have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (8.5) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley has made a terrific 90.8% of his foul shots this year, a big improvement over his 82.8 rate last year.

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have shot 42.1% on shot attempts from the field (8th-weakest in the NBA) against the Clippers, labeling this as a tough matchup.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games as the visting team.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 7th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the LA Clippers).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Clippers, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.