Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 8, 2024

Updated Feb 9, 2024 1:14 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Mike Conley rates in the 88th percentile for three-point shots hit, tallying 2.3 per game this year.
Mike Conley has tallied 29.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 76th percentile.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled 8.0 buckets per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Bucks, branding this as a good matchup.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games as the visting team.
The Timberwolves have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to worsen player production for all stats.

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