Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 5, 2024 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Mike Conley places in the 89th percentile for three-point proficiency with the home court advantage with a a very good 45.6% rate this year.
Mike Conley has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while at home, 5.0 more than he's averaged overall this season at home.
In terms of 3-point shots, the Timberwolves's fantastic 42.7% rate of sunk threes comes in as the most in the league over the last 10 games.
The matchup against Houston is a good one for field goals; when the Houston Rockets are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 22nd-highest FG% in the NBA this year (45.5%).
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the most up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Timberwolves check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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