Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Orlando Magic · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 1:17 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley ranks in the 91st percentile for three-point proficiency with the home court advantage with a a terrific 47.0% rate this year.
Mike Conley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games when playing at home, 5.0 more than he's tallied overall this season at home.
When it comes to three-point shots, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 39.4% rate of sunk threes places strongest in the league this year.
The Magic have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley has successfully made 3.0 free throws per game over the last 14 games at home, 2.4 more than he's sunk over the course of the year at home.

Favors Under

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 4.9 3-point attempts per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, marking this as a tough matchup.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from facing the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Magic).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Orlando is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted just 2.2 foul shots per game this year when the Magic are away from home (13th-least in the league).