Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has converted 46.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc while on his home court this year, placing him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Mike Conley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while playing at home, 4.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.
In regard to 3-pointers, the Timberwolves's terrific 41.8% rate of converted threes comes in as the strongest in the league over the last 25 games.
The matchup against Dallas is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Mavericks are on the road, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 22nd-most treys per game in the league this year (2.4).
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in plays today from competing against the 2nd-fastest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 1stworst in in the NBA on their home court with a mere 8.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, their opposition has collected 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks (continuing possessions that can spark added opportunities for offense).
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (12th-least in the NBA).

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