Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 12:48 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 50.2% on field goal attempts (30th-best in the NBA) vs. the Spurs, creating a good matchup.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from competing against the most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Spurs).
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 4.5 free throws per game (23rd-highest in the NBA) against the Spurs, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
The Timberwolves rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Spurs have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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