Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2024

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 25, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 12:48 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley comes in at the 88th percentile for three-pointers converted while playing away from home, tallying 2.3 per game this year.
Mike Conley has averaged 29.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 76th percentile.
With respect to shooting, the Minnesota Timberwolves's exceptional 115.2 points per game when playing on the road measures as the 10th-highest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 2.9 three-pointers per game (29th-most in the league) against the Nets, creating a positive matchup.
While on their home court, the Brooklyn Nets have given up the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (8.7) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Nets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 8.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nets, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.
Mike Conley will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.