Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 1/18/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 18, 2024

Updated Jan 19, 2024 2:57 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to increased possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Grizzlies have allowed the 9th-least offensive boards per game (10.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.1 free throws per game (29th-most in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Favors Under

The matchup against Memphis is a tough one; when the Grizzlies are on the road, they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (17.0).

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