Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs LA Clippers · Jan 14, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 12:05 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley ranks in the 93rd percentile for 3-point proficiency while playing at home with a a great 48.6% rate this year.
Mike Conley has played 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games with the home court advantage, 5.1 higher than he's played overall this year at home.
The Timberwolves have been the 6th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 45.6% on field goals (24th-best in the league) vs. the LA Clippers, creating a favorable matchup.
Mike Conley has sunk 3.0 free throws per game over the last 14 games at home, 2.2 more than he's sunk in all games this season while playing at home.

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Clippers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.
While on the road, the LA Clippers have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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