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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Points
Player Prop - 1/12/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley rates in the 93rd percentile for three-point performance with the home court advantage with a an outstanding 47.8% rate this year.

Mike Conley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games while on his home court, 4.6 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year at home.

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to increased plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Mike Conley has sunk 3.0 free throws per game over the last 14 games at home, 2.2 more than he's put through the hoop overall this year when playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers is a tough one for threes; the other team's starting PGs have shot for the 13th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (29.8%).

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

Offensive rebounds save possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 3rdworst in in the league while on their home court with only 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.

While playing away from home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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