Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Boston Celtics vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 6:03 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Mike Conley slots into the 89th percentile for three-point shots converted, logging 2.4 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Mike Conley rates in the 75th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 29.3 minutes per game this year.
As it relates to offense, the Minnesota Timberwolves's outstanding 113.3 points per game when playing away from home settles in as the 4th-strongest in the league over the last 20 games.
This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 3.0 threes per game (30th-most in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, resulting in a strong matchup.
Among all players in the league, Mike Conley places in the 90th percentile for free-throw efficiency away from home with a a remarkable 95.5% rate this year.

Favors Under

The 7th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to decrease possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team has grabbed 13.4 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics (lengthening possessions that can lead to extra opportunities for offense).
The matchup against the Celtics is a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 2.3 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).