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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Points
Player Prop - 1/9/2024

Orlando Magic vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley measures in the 87th percentile for three-point shots drained while on the road, averaging 2.3 per game this year.

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games.

The matchup against Orlando is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Orlando Magic are at home, the other team's starting PGs have posted the 25th-highest three rate in the league this year (42.3%).

This year when they are away from home, opposing squads have brought down 8.4 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic (shortening possessions that could otherwise generate bonus chances for offense).

Mike Conley has sunk 95.2% of his foul shot attempts while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 6th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-most sluggish pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Magic).

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

Mike Conley should suffer a drop-off in productivity across the board as a result of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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