Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has made 2.2 shots from downtown per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley rates in the 91st percentile for free-throw performance away from his home court with a a stellar 95.2% rate this year.

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 4.6 three attempts per game (12th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, creating a challenging matchup.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA while playing away from home with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (15th-least in the league).