Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 22, 2023 2:15 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has converted 54.6% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.4% more than he's put through the net overall this year.
Mike Conley has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 14 games when playing at home, 4.7 more than he's tallied in all games this year at home.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 25 games.
The Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Lakers).
Mike Conley has made 2.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a challenging one for three-point attempts; when the Lakers are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 11th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.3).
The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 2ndworst in in the NBA on their home court with only 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 15 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have nabbed 11.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Lakers (lengthening possessions that can produce added opportunities for offense).

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