Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 12:23 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has made a whopping 45.8% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, a big improvement over his 36.8 mark last season.
The Timberwolves check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the visting team.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 37.7% on three-pointers (22nd-highest in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in possessions today from facing the 9th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).
In contrast to last year's 82.8% mark, Mike Conley's free-throw efficiency has jumped this year to 95.2%.

Favors Under

The 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers (lengthening possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).
Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 0.8 foul shots per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.
Mike Conley figures to experience a decrease in effectiveness in all stat categories due to being on the road in this contest.

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