Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has compiled 16.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's compiled over the course of the season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Mike Conley has sunk 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
Mike Conley will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boost stat production across the board.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 4.7 3-point attempts per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Pacers have given up the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams over the last 12 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.5 foul shots per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, struggling to get to the foul line.