Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-135/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has attempted 7.2 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
In regard to scoring, the Minnesota Timberwolves's stellar 114.9 points per game on their home court measures as the 10th-highest in the league this year.
The matchup against the Pelicans is a challenging one for three-pointers; opposing clubs have compiled the 3rd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (34.1%).
The matchup against New Orleans is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the New Orleans Pelicans are on the road, opposing starting PGs have tallied the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.3).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should boost plays for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

The 2nd-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing clubs have brought down 12.0 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans (maintaining possessions that can lead to further opportunities for offense).
Mike Conley will likely experience a decrease in performance in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

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