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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Points
Player Prop - 12/8/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Mike Conley has attempted 8.4 threes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 3.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

The matchup against Memphis is a positive one; when the Grizzlies are away from home, they have allowed the 28th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (22.7).

This year when they are away from home, their opposition has nabbed 8.2 offensive boards per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (shortening possessions that could otherwise produce bonus chances for offense).

Mike Conley has converted a whopping 98.6% of his foul shot attempts this season, quite a bit more than his 82.8 mark last season.

As it relates to drawing fouls, the Timberwolves's terrific 24.8 foul shots per game at home settles in as the 5th-best in the NBA this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most sluggish tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 6thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Mike Conley stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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