Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 10:52 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Timberwolves check in as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while on the road since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Memphis is a positive one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are on their home court, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (24.9).
This year, their opposition has grabbed 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Memphis Grizzlies (turning over possessions that could otherwise bring about more chances for offense).
Compared to last year's 82.8% clip, Mike Conley's foul-shot proficiency has spiked this year to 100.0%.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.1 foul shots per game (29th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to reduce plays for the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley is expected to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of playing away from hom in this contest.

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