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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Mike Conley has successfully made an impressive 46.5% of his shots from downtown this year, a big improvement over his 36.8 rate last year.

Mike Conley has played 28.6 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

In regard to offense, the Timberwolves's superb 117.2 points per game on the road rates 9th-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Since the start of last season when they are away from home, opposing squads have averaged 44.8% on shot attempts from the field (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Warriors, designating this as a tough matchup.

The matchup vs. Golden State is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Warriors are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 30th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (17.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Mike Conley has averaged 0.0 technical fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals.

The Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Golden State Warriors).

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have collected 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors (saving possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).

Mike Conley will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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