Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 11/10/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 10, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 12:23 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has converted 2.1 shots from downtown per game while at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 29.7 minutes per game while playing at home since the start of last season.
The Timberwolves rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have shot 48.7% on shot attempts from the field (30th-best in the NBA) vs. the Spurs, resulting in a positive matchup.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 9th-speediest pace offense in the NBA this year (the San Antonio Spurs).

Favors Under

The Timberwolves check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.9 free throws per game since the start of last season when the San Antonio Spurs are at home (12th-least in the league).
Mike Conley will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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