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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Points
Player Prop - 4/25/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Mike Conley has successfully made 62.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 18.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the season on the road.

Mike Conley has converted 3.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year on the road.

Mike Conley has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 79th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year.

The matchup vs. Denver is a strong one for threes; when the Nuggets are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 24th-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (2.2).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Timberwolves.

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

The Nuggets have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Mike Conley will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

More Mike Conley Player Props

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