Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 23, 2023

Updated Apr 23, 2023 4:31 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-102/-127).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has converted 54.0% of his treys over the last 10 games, 17.2% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
Mike Conley has averaged 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the league this year.
The Nuggets have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley has sunk 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.1 higher than he's made over the course of the season when playing at home.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.1 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season at home.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 25 games (16.0).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which should reduce possessions for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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